Oscars: 78th Academy Awards 2005

Sunday March 5, 2006. 5pm Pacific, 8pm Eastern

OUR PREDICTIONS

Remember, these are our predictions of who we think WILL win. These are not always who we WANT to win, nor the 'best' of the year.

 

Our Picks

Film: Crash
Brokeback lost momentum before ballots were due. Actors are the largest group of Academy voters and SAG voted Crash "best cast". Also, there are still homophobes in Hollywood, and Crash will recieve most of the "anti-Brokeback" votes.

Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman "Capote"
He's an "actor's actor" who consistently does great work without a win. The Academy loves biographical roles and he was the best of the 3 "bio" nominees.

Actress: Reese Witherspoon "Walk the Line"
She's young, talented, and hasn't been taken seriously unitil now (Think: Sally Field). It's also the only chance for voters to reward 'Walk the Line'.

Sup Actress: Rachel Weisz "The Constant Gardener"
The hardest category to predict. The Actor's Guild voted for her and she seems to still have momentum before ballots were due.

Sup Actor: Paul Giamatti "Cinderella Man"
He's been seen as the winner since Cinderella Man opened, but mostly because he didn't get nominated for Sideways last year. If there's an upset it may be here. The other nominees were quite good and some may vote their second choice assuming Giamatti has it in the bag.

Director: Ang Lee "Brokeback Mountain"
He's directed some great films without winning, he's likeable, and humble. It's also the consolation prize for not winning Best Picture.

  

The Winners

Film: Crash

Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman, "Capote"

Actress: Reese Witherspoon, "Walk the Line"

Sup Actress: Rachel Weisz, "The Constant Gardener"

Sup Actor: George Clooney, "Syriana"

Director: Ang Lee, "Brokeback Mountain"

 

For the first time David and Lee Anne's picks matched in all the major categories, but overall...

Lee Anne: 18 out of 24!

David: 15 out of 24

 
 

News

Oscar News1/11/06
Jon Stewart to host

1/10/06
'Brokeback' scores big at Critics' Choice Awards

1/9/06
'Capote' best picture by National Society of Film Critics

Links

Overlooked?

Sup Actress: Tilda Swinton (Lion, Witch, & Wardrobe), Maria Bello (A History of Violence)

Sup Actor: Donald Sutherland (Pride & Prejudice)

  

Countdown to Oscar

Countdown to Oscar
  • 12/31: Awards year ends at midnight
  • 1/16:
    Golden Globe Awards
  • 1/21: Nominations polls close
  • 1/31:
    Nominations announced
  • 2/8: Final ballots mailed
  • 2/28: Final polls close 5 p.m. PST
  • Sunday, March 5, 2006:
    78th Annual Academy Awards

Trivia

Best Picture and Best Director nominees match 5-for-5 for the first time in 24 years.

Only 3 Best Songs—A change in the rules means voters now rate their picks on a scale from 6 to 10, with an average score of at least 8.25 required for a nomination.

Composer John Williams (nods for Munich and Geisha) bring his total nominations to 45! (He lost to Brokeback Mt.)

  

David Predicts Nominees

Favorites

David predicted all but 3 nominees in the top categories! 90%

Film: Brokeback Mountain, Capote, Crash, Good Night, & Good Luck, Walk the Line [Munich]

Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman, Terrence Howard, Heath Ledger, David Strathairn, Ray Fiennes [Joaquin Phoenix]

Actress: Judi Dench, Felicity Huffman, Charlize Theron, Reese Witherspoon, Ziyi Zhang [Keira Knightley]

Sup Actress: Amy Adams, Catherine Keener, Frances McDormand, Rachel Weisz, Michelle Williams

Sup Actor: George Clooney, Matt Dillon, Paul Giamatti, Jake Gyllenhaal, William Hurt

Director: Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain), George Clooney (Good Night, & Good Luck), Paul Haggis (Crash), Bennett Miller (Capote), Steven Spielberg (Munich)

  

As of February 21, 2006:

X = films we've seen    D&LA = Our picks for winner    GG GG = Golden Globe Nominee/Win
DGA DGA = Director's Guild Nominee/Win    SAG SAG = Screen Actor's Guild Nominee/Win    PGA PGA = Producer's Guild Nominee/Win

X
8/3
 Brokeback Mountain
GG-Drama PGA		 Heath Ledger
GG-Drama SAG		   Jake Gyllenhaal
SAG		 Michelle Williams
GG SAG		 Ang Lee
D&LA
GG DGA
X
5/1
 Capote
PGA		 Philip Seymour Hoffman D&LA
GG-Drama SAG		     Catherine Keener
SAG		 Bennett Miller
DGA
X DVD
6/3
 Crash
D&LA
PGA SAG "Cast"		     Matt Dillon
GG SAG		   Paul Haggis
DGA
X
6/0
 Good Night, and Good Luck
GG-Drama PGA		 David Strathairn
GG-Drama SAG		       George Clooney
GG DGA
X
5/0
 Munich         Steven Spielberg
GG DGA
X DVD
2/1
 Hustle & Flow Terrence Howard
GG-Drama		        
X
6/1
 Walk the Line
GG-Comedy PGA		 Joaquin Phoenix
SAG GG-Comedy/Musical		 Reese Witherspoon D&LA
GG-Comedy/Musical SAG		      
X
2/0
 Mrs. Henderson Presents
GG-Comedy		   Judi Dench
GG-Comedy SAG		      
X
2/0
 Transamerica   Felicity Huffman
GG-Drama SAG		      
X
4/0
 Pride and Prejudice
GG-Comedy		   Keira Knightley
GG-Comedy		      
X DVD
2/0
 North Country   Charlize Theron
GG-Drama SAG 		  Frances McDormand
GG SAG		  
X DVD
3/0
 Cinderella Man     Paul Giamatti
D&LA
GG SAG		    
X
2/1
 Syriana     George Clooney
GG SAG		    
X
2/0
 A History of Violence
GG-Drama		     William Hurt    
X DVD
4/0
 The Constant Gardener
GG-Drama		       Rachel Weisz
D&LA
GG SAG		  
X DVD
1/0
 Junebug       Amy Adams
SAG		  

Nods More Oscar Nominations Art Direction Cinematography /Orig
Screenplay		 Sound Mixing Sound Editing Visual Effects Costume Music (Score)
X
Brokeback Mountain
X
XA GG
 
X
GG
X
Capote
XA
 
X DVD
Crash
X
XO
 
X
X
Good Night, and Good Luck
X
X
XO
 
X
Munich
X
XA
 
X
X DVD
Hustle & Flow
 
X
X
Walk the Line
X
X
 
X
X
Mrs. Henderson Presents
 
X
X
Transamerica
 
X
X
Pride & Prejudice
X
 
X
X
X DVD
Cinderella Man
X
 
X
X
Syriana
XO
 
X DVD
A History of Violence
XA
 
X DVD
The Constant Gardener
X
XA
 
X
X
3/1
 The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
X
X
X
X
1/0
 Star Wars: Episode III Revenge of the Sith
 
X
X DVD
3/0
 War of the Worlds
X
X
X
X DVD
1/0
 Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
 
X
 
6/3
 Memoirs of a Geisha
0
0
0
0
  
0
0 GG
 
1/0
 Matchpoint
O
 
 
1/0
 The Squid and the Whale
O
 
 
1/0
 Harry Potter & the Goblet of Fire
0
 
 
4/3
 King Kong
0
0
0
0
 
1/0
 Batman Begins
0
 
 
1/0
 The New World
0
 

Seen More Winners Foreign-Language Documentary Feature Documentary Short Animated Feature Animated Short Live-Action Short
 
Tsotsi (South Africa)
 0          
X
March of the Penguins
   X D&LA        
 
A Note of Triumph: The Golden Age of Norman Corwin
    0      
 
Wallace & Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit
      0    
 
The Moon and the Son: An Imagined Conversation
         0  
 
Six Shooter
           0

  We also saw... Comment Actor Actress Sup Actor Sup Actress Director
X The Upside of Anger Could've been nominated for acting   Joan Allen Kevin Costner    
X Grizzly Man Didn't get a nod for Documentary          
X The Island Surprisingly good film          
X Fever Pitch Go Sox!          
X Coach Carter Not bad, formulaic          
X Hitch Silly fun          
X Dark Water Yuck          
X The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy The play was better! ;-)